Bala Town 0-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

Bala Town
0-1 HT 0-1
The New Saints
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Bala Town vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.94 — our 24% vs market 15.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
12%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-12.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bala Town v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 75%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.19/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/0.53
-75% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +64%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bala Town vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
13.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
30.04.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
14.04.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
13.03.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
31.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL

Bala Town 0-1 The New Saints — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bala Town
0-1
AWAY The New Saints
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints edged past Bala Town 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bala Town had 36% of the ball to The New Saints's 64%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Bala Town and 2.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs The New Saints?

Bala Town 0-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 19%, draw 23%, The New Saints 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ BTTS No
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