Mold Alexandra 0-1 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 52%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.14/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.64
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +123%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
18.02.2023 Mold Alexandra 0-3 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
29.08.2022 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 4-0 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay edged past Mold Alexandra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mold Alexandra and 3.50 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Colwyn Bay?

Mold Alexandra 0-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 31%, draw 28%, Colwyn Bay 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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