Newport City 0-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

Newport City
0-1 HT 0-1
Goytre United
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Newport City vs Goytre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport City v Goytre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
195 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 584 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United squeezed past Newport City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Goytre United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Goytre United?

Newport City 0-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newport City 42%, draw 20%, Goytre United 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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