Taffs Well 6-2 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.4pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.0pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 28%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.99/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/2.33
-53% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
30.09.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
22.07.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALLK
03.03.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-5 HT 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.07.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-4 HT 0-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
11.12.2021 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-3 HT 0-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
05.11.2021 Taffs Well Taffs Well 3-3 HT 1-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well ran out comfortable winners over Cwmbran Celtic 6-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Taffs Well as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taffs Well had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Taffs Well and 2.33 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Taffs Well 6-2 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 42%, draw 24%, Cwmbran Celtic 34%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taffs Well), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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