Mold Alexandra 1-2 Buckley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.5pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/3.05
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Buckley Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
22.07.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 Mold Alexandra GALLK
07.12.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
26.11.2022 Mold Alexandra 2-0 HT 0-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town nicked a narrow win over Mold Alexandra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mold Alexandra at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.00 for Buckley Town.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Mold Alexandra 1-2 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 56%, draw 20%, Buckley Town 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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