Abertillery Bluebirds 0-3 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
29%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.29
Over 2.5
37%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
24%
+14.2pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.4pp
29%
Away Win
53%
-24.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
40%
+22.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
60%
-22.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 57%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons swept aside Abertillery Bluebirds 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Baglan Dragons made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Abertillery Bluebirds 0-3 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abertillery Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 38%, draw 33%, Baglan Dragons 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Abertillery Bluebirds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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