Carmarthen Town 0-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.8pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.19
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Ammanford
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.10.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
27.12.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 0-4 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
18.04.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
15.04.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 1-3 HT 0-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford nicked a narrow win over Carmarthen Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.00 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford?

Carmarthen Town 0-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 47%, draw 24%, Ammanford 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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