Llantwit Major 2-0 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.29
No
35%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
73%
-7.9pp
35%
BTTS No
27%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major beat Newport City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newport City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Llantwit Major 2-0 Newport City in the Wales - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 35%, draw 21%, Newport City 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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