Penrhyncoch 0-3 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-11.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.3pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 55%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-69% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Guilsfield
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.01.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-2 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
19.11.2022 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
05.03.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 3-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield ran out comfortable winners over Penrhyncoch 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Guilsfield made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.00 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield?

Penrhyncoch 0-3 Guilsfield in the Wales - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 37%, draw 24%, Guilsfield 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALLK More Wales - League Cup
20 Jul 2024
14:30 Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
16:30 Caersws vs Holywell Analysis →
16:30 Carmarthen Town vs Cambrian & Clydach Analysis →
16:30 Llantwit Major vs Newport City Analysis →
16:30 Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Goytre United Analysis →
16:30 Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin Analysis →