Caersws 0-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

Caersws
0-1 HT 0-0
Holywell
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Wales - League Cup – 2024/2025

Caersws vs Holywell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
64%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.3pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.4pp
64%
Away Win
76%
-11.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caersws v Holywell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 80%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/6.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.51/1.50
+13% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -46%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caersws vs Holywell Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Holywell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.09.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
06.08.2022 Caersws Caersws 1-6 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALLK
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell nicked a narrow win over Caersws 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caersws and 3.67 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Holywell?

Caersws 0-1 Holywell in the Wales - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Caersws 18%, draw 18%, Holywell 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALLK More Wales - League Cup
20 Jul 2024
14:30 Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
16:30 Carmarthen Town vs Cambrian & Clydach Analysis →
16:30 Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield Analysis →
16:30 Llantwit Major vs Newport City Analysis →
16:30 Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Goytre United Analysis →
16:30 Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin Analysis →