Cwmbran Celtic 2-3 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.29
No
37%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
73%
-10.3pp
37%
BTTS No
27%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds squeezed past Cwmbran Celtic 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Trethomas Bluebirds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Cwmbran Celtic 2-3 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 38%, draw 23%, Trethomas Bluebirds 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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