Flint Mountain 1-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 51%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
7.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.14
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Holywell
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.10.2024 Holywell Holywell 1-2 HT 1-2 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
13.10.2023 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 3-1 HT 2-1 Holywell Holywell GALWK
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain and Holywell couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Flint Mountain had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Flint Mountain and 1.00 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Holywell?

Flint Mountain 1-1 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 36%, draw 26%, Holywell 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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