Gresford Athletic 3-3 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.0pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.28/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/2.19
-21% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
23.08.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 5-1 HT 2-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
19.03.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-5 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
28.10.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.07.2022 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic and Denbigh Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.25 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town?

Gresford Athletic 3-3 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 25%, draw 24%, Denbigh Town 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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