Denbigh Town 5-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.9pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.7pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
3.24/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.49
+49% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
19.03.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-5 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
28.10.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.07.2022 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town cruised past Gresford Athletic 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Denbigh Town and 2.33 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Denbigh Town 5-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 54%, draw 15%, Gresford Athletic 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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