Penrhyncoch 0-1 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.63
No
32%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.5pp
60%
Away Win
74%
-14.5pp
68%
BTTS Yes
57%
+10.4pp
32%
BTTS No
43%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 79%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.03/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.40/0.68
+6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +57%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.09.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 4-0 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
07.04.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-2 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
01.04.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-0 HT 2-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay squeezed past Penrhyncoch 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Penrhyncoch and 3.00 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Colwyn Bay?

Penrhyncoch 0-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 18%, draw 23%, Colwyn Bay 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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