Colwyn Bay 4-0 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.14
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
68%
-17.7pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.77/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.14
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.04.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-2 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
01.04.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-0 HT 2-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay cruised past Penrhyncoch 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Colwyn Bay and 0.00 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Penrhyncoch?

Colwyn Bay 4-0 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 50%, draw 25%, Penrhyncoch 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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