Caersws 0-1 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.43
-31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 4-0 HT 4-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra squeezed past Caersws 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Caersws at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Caersws and 1.00 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?

Caersws 0-1 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caersws 44%, draw 22%, Mold Alexandra 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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