Goytre United 3-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.55/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.63
+56% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.07.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
06.01.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
17.11.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
25.03.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
19.08.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-3 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
01.10.2021 Goytre United Goytre United 1-1 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United saw off Carmarthen Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Goytre United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Goytre United and 2.00 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Carmarthen Town?

Goytre United 3-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 32%, draw 28%, Carmarthen Town 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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