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Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afan Lido v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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4-1
HT 3-0
Afan Lido
GALWK
3-1
HT 0-1
Caerau (Ely)
GALFAW
Afan Lido and Caerau (Ely) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Afan Lido and 2.67 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
Afan Lido 2-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 37%, draw 21%, Caerau (Ely) 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.