Carmarthen Town 1-2 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jul 2024

Carmarthen Town
1-2 HT 0-1
Goytre United
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmarthen Town v Goytre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +35%
2.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.02
-2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +111%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Goytre United
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
17.11.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
25.03.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
19.08.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-3 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
01.10.2021 Goytre United Goytre United 1-1 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United edged past Carmarthen Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.20 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United?

Carmarthen Town 1-2 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 48%, draw 23%, Goytre United 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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