Llantwit Major 0-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 32%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds nicked a narrow win over Llantwit Major 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Llantwit Major 0-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 47%, draw 27%, Trethomas Bluebirds 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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