Guilsfield 1-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.93
+8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Caersws
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.03.2024 Guilsfield 2-2 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
28.10.2023 Caersws Caersws 2-3 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws edged past Guilsfield 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guilsfield had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Guilsfield and 2.00 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Caersws?

Guilsfield 1-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 46%, draw 22%, Caersws 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guilsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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