Guilsfield 2-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 19 Mar 2024

Guilsfield
2-2 HT 1-0
Caersws
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Guilsfield vs Caersws Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guilsfield v Caersws — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.71/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.45
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Guilsfield vs Caersws Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caersws
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Caersws Caersws 2-3 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield and Caersws shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Caersws?

Guilsfield 2-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 50%, draw 20%, Caersws 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guilsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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