Briton Ferry 2-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.68
Over 2.5
69%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.5pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.5pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.19
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
4 Corners 4
08.09.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-2 HT 1-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
26.11.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-2 HT 1-2 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
29.08.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-1 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
25.07.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 3-2 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
25.02.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-2 HT 1-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Briton Ferry and 2.20 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Afan Lido?

Briton Ferry 2-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 46%, draw 21%, Afan Lido 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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