Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
2.01/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.73
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
07.01.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
29.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
12.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
22.10.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-5 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
29.01.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic squeezed past Carmarthen Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Cwmbran Celtic made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 3.17 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town?

Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 37%, draw 25%, Carmarthen Town 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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