Baglan Dragons 1-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
3.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.34
+48% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.10.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-3 HT 0-2 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
12.01.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-2 HT 0-2 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
21.10.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 0-1 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
21.07.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-3 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Afan Lido couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Baglan Dragons at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.00 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?

Baglan Dragons 1-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 52%, draw 24%, Afan Lido 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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