Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
29%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.73/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.07
-14% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Caersws
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.09.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
29.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 4-0 HT 4-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra and Caersws shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.67 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 54%, draw 25%, Caersws 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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