Trethomas Bluebirds 4-4 Cardiff Draconians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.96
Draw
12%
3.64
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
47%
+13.0pp
12%
Draw
24%
-12.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.99/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.04
+10% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cardiff Draconians
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.10.2025 Cardiff Draconians 3-0 HT 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds and Cardiff Draconians shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trethomas Bluebirds at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Trethomas Bluebirds 4-4 Cardiff Draconians in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 60%, draw 12%, Cardiff Draconians 28%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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