Holywell 1-3 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+5.1pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.2pp
65%
Away Win
71%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
275 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Connahs Quay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.09.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holywell
1-3
AWAY Connahs Quay
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay saw off Holywell 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Connahs Quay?

Holywell 1-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Holywell 16%, draw 19%, Connahs Quay 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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