Wisla Krakow 2-1 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
9.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.52
X/2
8%
8.95
X/X
12%
5.48
2/1
7%
21.65
2/2
7%
6.61
2/X
7%
14.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.52 — our 25% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.24/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.51
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.2 Crosses 19.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.23 xG 1.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
284 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-3 HT 1-2 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
27.10.2024 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-3 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
13.04.2024 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
01.10.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
25.04.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 3-4 HT 1-3 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
31.10.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
2-1
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.78 xG 1.49
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
313 Passes 324
18 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow edged past Wisla Plock 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.78 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.83 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?

Wisla Krakow 2-1 Wisla Plock in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 54%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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