Farnborough 3-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.33
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.03.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough beat Salisbury 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farnborough and 1.00 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Salisbury?

Farnborough 3-1 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 45%, draw 27%, Salisbury 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ BTTS Yes
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