Merthyr Town 3-0 Sholing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sholing EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.47/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.58
+32% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sholing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.12.2023 Sholing Sholing 0-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Sholing Sholing İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Sholing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town swept aside Sholing 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Merthyr Town and 0.50 for Sholing.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Sholing?

Merthyr Town 3-0 Sholing in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Sholing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 48%, draw 30%, Sholing 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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