Ashton United vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ashton United v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Ashton United vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
3-1
HT 2-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
1-2
HT 0-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
Ashton United 0-1 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Morpeth Town nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ashton United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ashton United had 52% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 48%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ashton United and 2.17 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Ashton United vs Morpeth Town?
Ashton United 0-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 54%, draw 25%, Morpeth Town 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.