IFK Lulea 2-1 Frösö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.68
Over 2.5
69%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-18.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+13.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.5pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Frösö EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
2.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.17
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
419 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Lulea
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Frösö
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.05.2024 Frösö Frösö 1-2 HT 1-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
18.06.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 4-2 HT 2-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Lulea vs Frösö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Lulea squeezed past Frösö 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Lulea as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IFK Lulea had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for IFK Lulea and 1.50 for Frösö.

What was the final score of IFK Lulea vs Frösö?

IFK Lulea 2-1 Frösö in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Lulea vs Frösö?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split IFK Lulea 55%, draw 21%, Frösö 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Lulea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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