Savedalen 2-2 Hittarps IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Savedalen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hittarps IK EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.51/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/3.08
+29% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Savedalen
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Hittarps IK
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 2-3 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
30.09.2023 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 4-2 HT 2-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
28.05.2023 Savedalen Savedalen 4-4 HT 4-0 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
31.07.2022 Savedalen Savedalen 3-3 HT 1-3 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
03.04.2022 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 6-0 HT 3-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Savedalen
2-2
AWAY Hittarps IK
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Savedalen vs Hittarps IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Savedalen and Hittarps IK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Savedalen at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Savedalen had 65% of the ball to Hittarps IK's 35%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hittarps IK led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Savedalen and 3.80 for Hittarps IK.

What was the final score of Savedalen vs Hittarps IK?

Savedalen 2-2 Hittarps IK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Savedalen vs Hittarps IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Savedalen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Savedalen 55%, draw 20%, Hittarps IK 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Savedalen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Savedalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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