Baden 1-2 Biel-Bienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
43%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.8pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Biel-Bienne EU Bookmakers 34%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.43
+46% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Biel-Bienne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.04.2023 Baden Baden 1-1 HT 1-1 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne İSV1Y
19.10.2022 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 1-1 HT 1-1 Baden Baden İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Baden vs Biel-Bienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Biel-Bienne edged past Baden 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Biel-Bienne as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baden and 1.00 for Biel-Bienne.

What was the final score of Baden vs Biel-Bienne?

Baden 1-2 Biel-Bienne in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Biel-Bienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Biel-Bienne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baden 35%, draw 22%, Biel-Bienne 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Biel-Bienne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Biel-Bienne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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