Paradiso 1-0 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.6pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
0.75/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.72
-58% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bavois
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.11.2023 Bavois 1-2 HT 1-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradiso
1-0
AWAY Bavois
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso edged past Bavois 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paradiso as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Paradiso had 49% of the ball to Bavois's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Bavois?

Paradiso 1-0 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 42%, draw 23%, Bavois 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradiso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paradiso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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