Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Tenerife (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
50%
-16.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.49/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.00
+96% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
13.0 Crosses 20.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tenerife (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 2.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
322 Passes 141
75% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
14.04.2024 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2-1
AWAY Tenerife (K)
1.67 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
303 Passes 215
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Tenerife (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) nicked a narrow win over Tenerife (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Madrid CFF (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 57% of the ball to Tenerife (K)'s 43%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Tenerife (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Tenerife (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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