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Ajax (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals
Ajax (K) 0-1 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina (K) edged past Ajax (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ajax (K) had 63% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 37%, shots finished 14-9.
What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?
Ajax (K) 0-1 Fiorentina (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 33%, draw 24%, Fiorentina (K) 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.