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Arsenal (K) vs Rosenborg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Rosenborg (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) 1-0 Rosenborg (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) squeezed past Rosenborg (K) 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 81% of the ball to Rosenborg (K)'s 19%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Rosenborg (K)?
Arsenal (K) 1-0 Rosenborg (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Rosenborg (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 70%, draw 16%, Rosenborg (K) 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.