Dinamo-BGU (K) 3-2 Spartak Myjava (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.38
Over
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dinamo-BGU (K) win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo-BGU (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Myjava (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
-83% / -83% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-48% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +86%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo-BGU (K)
3-2
AWAY Spartak Myjava (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo-BGU (K) vs Spartak Myjava (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo-BGU (K) squeezed past Spartak Myjava (K) 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo-BGU (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dinamo-BGU (K) had 61% of the ball to Spartak Myjava (K)'s 39%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Dinamo-BGU (K) vs Spartak Myjava (K)?

Dinamo-BGU (K) 3-2 Spartak Myjava (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo-BGU (K) vs Spartak Myjava (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo-BGU (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dinamo-BGU (K) 59%, draw 20%, Spartak Myjava (K) 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo-BGU (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo-BGU (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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