Paris (K) 2-0 Sparta Prag (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.59
Over
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Paris (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.5pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.1pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
4.76/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/4.67
+48% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -34%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
480 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris (K)
2-0
AWAY Sparta Prag (K)
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris (K) vs Sparta Prag (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris (K) saw off Sparta Prag (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paris (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 23-8.

What was the final score of Paris (K) vs Sparta Prag (K)?

Paris (K) 2-0 Sparta Prag (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris (K) vs Sparta Prag (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Paris (K) 66%, draw 21%, Sparta Prag (K) 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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