Moritanya vs Botsvana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moritanya v Botsvana — Team-Based Signals
Moritanya vs Botsvana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Botsvana
AFUK
0-1
HT 0-0
Moritanya
AFUK
Moritanya 1-0 Botsvana — Actual Match Statistics
Moritanya squeezed past Botsvana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moritanya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.
On the day, Moritanya had 54% of the ball to Botsvana's 46%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.81 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moritanya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moritanya and 0.50 for Botsvana.
What was the final score of Moritanya vs Botsvana?
Moritanya 1-0 Botsvana in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moritanya vs Botsvana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Moritanya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 44%, draw 29%, Botsvana 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moritanya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.