Nijerya 3-0 Benin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
31%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Benin EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.04/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.94
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.0 Crosses 13.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Benin
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.06.2024 Benin Benin 2-1 HT 2-1 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
27.03.2021 Benin Benin 0-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
13.11.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-1 Benin Benin AFUK
16.01.2010 Nijerya Nijerya 1-0 HT 1-0 Benin Benin AFUK
29.01.2008 Nijerya Nijerya 2-0 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
3-0
AWAY Benin
1.49 xG 0.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
403 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Benin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya cruised past Benin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nijerya had 56% of the ball to Benin's 44%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nijerya and 0.60 for Benin.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Benin?

Nijerya 3-0 Benin in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Benin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 54%, draw 24%, Benin 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
7 Sep 2024
19:00 Moritanya vs Botsvana Analysis →
19:00 Kamerun vs Namibya Analysis →