Holstein Kiel II 1-2 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.15/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.18
+46% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
07.05.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
30.10.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
07.11.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1-2
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Holstein Kiel II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Phönix Lübeck made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Holstein Kiel II had 51% of the ball to Phönix Lübeck's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.00 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Holstein Kiel II 1-2 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 36%, draw 26%, Phönix Lübeck 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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