Homburg 6-0 Villingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Villingen EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.70/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homburg
6-0
AWAY Villingen
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg cruised past Villingen 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Homburg had 52% of the ball to Villingen's 48%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Villingen?

Homburg 6-0 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Villingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Homburg 43%, draw 29%, Villingen 27%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
7 Sep 2024
14:00 Holstein Kiel II vs Phönix Lübeck Analysis →
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Teutonia Hamburg Analysis →
15:00 Vilzing vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg Analysis →
15:00 Stuttgarter Kickers vs Steinbach Analysis →
15:00 Würzburger Kickers vs Bayreuth Analysis →
15:00 Lehnerz vs FSV Frankfurt Analysis →