Club Atletico Guemes 4-0 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
38%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.7pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.85/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.13
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
22.04.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
03.07.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes swept aside Deportivo Maipu 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 23% — and on the day Club Atletico Guemes made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 1.00 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu?

Club Atletico Guemes 4-0 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 39%, draw 37%, Deportivo Maipu 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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