Nueva Chicago 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.01/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.18
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
261 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
21.04.2024 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
26.09.2015 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago nicked a narrow win over Atletico Aldosivi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.50 for Atletico Aldosivi.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Nueva Chicago 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 34%, draw 34%, Atletico Aldosivi 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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