FA 2000 4-2 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
44%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
45%
Away Win
31%
+13.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA 2000 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.35
-6% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA 2000
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Holstebro BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2022 FA 2000 FA 2000 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
15.10.2022 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-2 HT 0-1 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA 2000
4-2
AWAY Holstebro BK
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FA 2000 vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA 2000 beat Holstebro BK 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Holstebro BK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FA 2000 had 54% of the ball to Holstebro BK's 46%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FA 2000 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FA 2000 and 0.50 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of FA 2000 vs Holstebro BK?

FA 2000 4-2 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA 2000 vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FA 2000 35%, draw 21%, Holstebro BK 45%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstebro BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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