Naesby 4-1 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 7 Sep 2024

Naesby
4-1 HT 2-1
VSK Arhus
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Naesby vs VSK Arhus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naesby v VSK Arhus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.85/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.03
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Naesby vs VSK Arhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-0D-4L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
The Meetings
09.06.2024 Naesby Naesby 3-1 HT 2-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
21.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-4 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.09.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
03.06.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
29.04.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
POST-MATCH Naesby vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby ran out comfortable winners over VSK Arhus 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Naesby and 1.83 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Naesby vs VSK Arhus?

Naesby 4-1 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naesby 48%, draw 25%, VSK Arhus 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby)
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